Dr. Agnia Grigas
Energy & Political Risk Expert
Baltic States
Here you can find a list of articles, reports published by Dr. Agnia Grigas or publications where she has provided commentary on the three Baltic States – Estonia, Latvia and Lithuania. While most of the publications cover the military and energy security of the Baltic States, institutions like NATO and the European Union, some of them also discuss domestic affairs like political parties or election outcomes.
Russia’s Motives in the Baltic States
Foreign Policy Research Institute
December 06, 2015
Russia’s annexation of Crimea in March 2014 and subsequent war in eastern Ukraine prompted discussions in the Baltic States and among their allies of whether a similar Russian hybrid warfare intervention in these NATO member states would be possible.
How Russia Sees Baltic Sovereignty
The Moscow Times
July 13, 2015
A recent decision by the Russian Prosecutor General’s Office to review the legality of a 1991 decision granting the Baltic states independence from the Soviet Union has irritated the governments of the Baltic states and raised concern among their allies.
Russia’s military games for Baltic and Polish civilians and youth
Lithuania Tribune
April 21, 2015
With the Russian 9th of May celebrations of Soviet victory in World War Two approaching, many in the Baltic States are concerned about the potential risk of provocations or confrontation stemming from the more radical and disgruntled elements of the local Russian minority.
Compatriot Games: Russian-Speaking Minorities in the Baltic States
World Politics Review
October 30, 2014
Nowhere does Russia’s policy of protecting its “compatriots”—Moscow’s loosely defined term for the Russian diaspora and Russian-speakers residing in the former Soviet republics—spell as much concern for the current post-Cold War order as in the Baltic states.
The EU’s unsresolved issue of the Russian embargo against Lithuania’s oil refinery
EurActiv
October 30, 2014
Many have correctly perceived the 8 year-old oil embargo against the Lithuanian oil refinery Orlen Lietuva as Moscow’s political vendetta against Vilnius. Nonetheless, the complete picture is more complex.
Energy game changer: Klaipėda LNG terminal and the Baltic states
Lithuania Tribune
September 21, 2014
The end of summer will elicit concerns among many EU states regarding the stability of the Russian gas supply during the cold winter months as tensions in Ukraine persist. Yet, one unexpected set of states – Lithuania, Latvia and Estonia – will greet the winter with more energy security than ever.
Russia’s borders: minorities and military manoeuvres rattle nerves in the Baltics
The Conversation
September 02, 2014
Anxiety over the crisis in eastern Ukraine has ratcheted in recent days amid claims of an effective Russian invasion, and warnings of NATO making a 4000-troop reaction force available to the region.
Russia-Baltic Relations after Crimea's Annexation: Reasons for Concern?
Cicero Foundation
June 04, 2014
When the Baltic states gained NATO and EU membership ten years ago, the dual accession was believed to have resolved the security dilemma of the Baltic states vis-a-vis their regional hegemon Russia.
Legacies, Coercion and Soft Power: Russian Influence in the Baltic States
Chatham House
July 31, 2012
Russia attempts to constrain the independence of the Baltic states of Estonia, Latvia and Lithuania and to undermine their political, economic and civilizational choices. However, it has failed to alter significant aspects of their strategic direction.