Russia

Here you can find a list of articles, reports published by Dr. Agnia Grigas or publications where she has provided commentary on the broad topic of Russian foreign policy and the security of Europe, Eurasia and beyond. Some of these pieces discuss Russian compatriot policies in the post-Soviet region, whereas others cover Russian information warfare, hybrid warfare, propaganda and cyber-warfare. Furthermore, here you can find publications not only on the security of such Eastern and Central European countries like Belarus, Moldova, Poland and Ukraine, but also such Caucasian states like Armenia, Azerbaijan and Georgia, and Central Asian countries like Kazakhstan and Uzbekistan.

Tropas rusas y dinero chino: el plan de Moscú para ‘tomar’ el Ártico

El Confidencial

January 31, 2017

Rusia erigirá en el Ártico más de 100 instalaciones de infraestructura militar durante este año.

Empire by Other Means: Russia’s Strategy for the 21st Century

Yale Global Online

February 01, 2017

Who needs territory? Russia uses soft power and information warfare to win control over former Soviet states

Kremlin Won't Weigh In Over Donald Trump's Executive Order on Immigration

Newsweek

January 30, 2017

The Kremlin is refusing to comment upon U.S. President Donald Trump’s character and policies that do not relate to Russia, after allies and opponents criticized the leader for his chaotic travel ban announcement.

Потужним джерелом нестабільності у країнах Балтії є корумповані політики, пов’язані з Кремлем (in Ukrainian)

Tyzhden

December 27, 2016

Московська пропагандистська кампанія стосовно Балтійського регіону та всередині їх стала особливо явною, коли Росія анексувала Крим.

Польща переозброюється (in Ukrainian)

Tyzhden

December 12, 2016

Конфлікт на Сході України триває третій рік, а шанси на мирне врегулювання віддаляються. Тим часом ЄС і НАТО переживають утому і внутрішні суперечки, Росія виявляє більшу наполегливість, а потенційна Адміністрація США під проводом Дональда Трампа схиляється до ізоляціонізму. 

Poland Takes Its Military Might Seriously

The National Interest

November 30, 2016

A call earlier this week between President-elect Donald Trump and British Prime Minister Theresa May — in which they agreed on the need for more NATO member states to commit two percent of their GDP on defense spending — brought European security debate back into the limelight.

First 100 Days: Stand Firm Against Russian Aggression

Pacific Council

November 13, 2016

The top foreign policy priorities will be dictated by developments on the ground with the ongoing war and refugee crisis in Syria, the threat of ISIL and international terrorism, the ongoing war in eastern Ukraine, a resurgent Russia, and signs of weakness and fragmentation in the European Union. 

Putin’s “Compatriots”

The American Interest

October 22, 2016

How Moscow manipulates the Russian diaspora in Eastern Europe to gain influence and sometimes territory.

Trump underestimates the Russian cyber threat

The Hill

October 13, 2016

The U.S. intelligence community and the Department of Homeland Security noted last Friday that Russia was indeed behind this year's campaign of hacks.

Where Does Uzbekistan Go After The Death Of Its Only President?

Newsweek

September 07, 2016

The death of Uzbekistan’s first and only President, Islam Karimov, who has been running the country with an iron first for more than twenty-five years, marks the end of an era for the country.

How the US can confront Moscow's frozen conflicts

The Hill

July 04, 2016

Russia's annexation of the Crimean peninsula from Ukraine and the emergence of pro-Moscow separatist territories in eastern Ukraine have created a new set of conflicts, and the U.S. response since 2014 constitutes an unprecedented turning point for political involvement and support to the region.

Frozen Conflicts: A Tool Kit for US Policymakers

Atlantic Council

June 26, 2016

Since the 1990s, a number of separatist movements and conflicts have challenged the borders of the states of the former Soviet Union and created quasi-independent territories under Russian influence and control.

What Is Putin Up To in China?

Newsweek

June 20, 2016

Russian President Vladimir Putin will be on his way to China on Saturday, the Kremlin has announced, in what has become an almost routine visit in recent years.

Политика России – от «мягкой силы» к прямой агрессии (in Russian)

Voice of America

June 18, 2016

В Нью-Йорке состоялась презентация книги «После Крыма: новая российская империя»

Panama Papers: More Trouble For The West Than Russia

Forbes

April 19, 2016

The leaked Panama Papers implicating government officials from more than 50 countries including Vladimir Putin’s insiders, David Cameron and others in Iceland, Ukraine, China and beyond have prompted a series of speculations arguing that the leak was either orchestrated by the CIA and others countering that it could have been Russia.

Brussels Attacks: Europe's Turmoil is Putin's Gain

Newsweek

March 27, 2016

The devastating attacks in Brussels last week have left Europe and the United States shaken. Fears of further violence are compounded by the perceived risks stemming from the Islamic State militant group (ISIS) and the massive refugee crisis, contributing to a general sense of instability and divisiveness. 

Аґнія Ґріґас: «Росія перетворила пропаганду на знаряддя війни» (in Ukrainian)

Tyzhden

March 27, 2016

Тиждень поспілкувався із американським експертом у сферах енергетики та політичних ризиків про російську м'яку силу в Україні та Європі.

Separatists Launch New “Passportization” Strategy in Eastern Ukraine

Atlantic Council

March 22, 2016

On March 16, the separatist leaders of the so-called Donetsk People’s Republic began issuing their own passports in eastern Ukraine. The territory’s militant leader Aleksander Zakharchenko called the move "a very important step toward building statehood” that will serve to solidify and formalize the territory’s separatist status. 

Russia—the perennial empire

Yale University Press

March 20, 2016

With the annexation of Crimea in March 2014, Russia has re-emerged at the forefront of the policy debate not only in academia, but also among the policy-making elite on both sides of the Atlantic. 

Growing the next generation of Russia experts

The Hill

March 07, 2016

The Pentagon's newest reassessment that Russia is a top national security threat comes on the heels of recent public discussions on the shortage of Russia experts in the U.S. government and the decline in funding for Russian studies.

Putin's New Empire

USNews

February 25, 2016

In 2010, President Barack Obama declared a "reset" on U.S. relations with Russia, to reverse what he called a "dangerous drift." But six years later, the two countries are engaged in what some have described as a new Cold War.

NATO’s Vulnerable Link in Europe: Poland’s Suwalki Gap

Atlantic Council

February 08, 2016

The Pentagon's decision to quadruple its 2017 budget for European defence due to the perceived threat of Russian aggression and the recent RAND report noting the difficulties NATO would have defending the Baltic States, are once again bringing to the forefront the risks on Europe's frontier states.

Beyond Crimea: The New Russian Empire

Pacific Council

January 21, 2016

The Russian government, especially under the regime of Vladimir Putin, has consistently used the Russian minorities and Russian speakers residing abroad as a means of influence and expansion with the aim of ‘reimperialization’ of the former Soviet space. 

Experts: Russia's economic policies are not sustainable

Anadolu Agency Energy News Terminal

December 01, 2015

The economical policies conducted by the Russian government over the recent years are not sustainable and sooner or later protests will begin, according to international experts.

Lukashenko's win means no change for Belarus

The Hill

October 13, 2015

It comes as no surprise that President Alexander Lukashenko, or the "last dictator in Europe" as he is popularly known, has won the Belarusian reelections with a reported 83 percent of the vote on Sunday.

Armenian-Russian relations in light of 'Electric Yerevan' protests

The Hill

July 05, 2015

The Armenian public protests of the past weeks against government electricity tariff hikes have raised questions about the potential start of a popular movement resembling Ukraine's Euromaidan in another post-Soviet state. What sets the capital city of Yerevan's protests apart is the fact that there are neither political demands nor calls for a change in the country's foreign policy.

Moldova, a powder keg in the heart of Europe

The Hill

June 14, 2016

On June 12, Moldovan Prime Minister Chiril Gaburici resigned from office as the country was rocked by large protests in the capital of Chisinau over the disappearance of $1 billion from three of the country's banks. 

Victory Day celebrations spell a diplomatic defeat for Russia

The Hill

May 07, 2015

Despite the great ideological significance of this day to the Russian state and its people — in the light of the Ukrainian crisis and an increasingly revisionist interpretation of history — Russia has found itself on this important anniversary largely isolated in the international community, with few of the invited world leaders in attendance.

Is America losing the information war?

Lithuania Tribune

April 05, 2015

In a world in which the dissemination of information is a key tactical element in violent conflicts, the West and America have remained far too passive in confronting both the insidious campaign of lies on Russian state-controlled media and the notoriously effective internet recruitment efforts of terrorist groups.

One year since Crimea’s annexation: Russia’s interests in Ukraine run deep

The Hill

March 22, 2015

Russia’s euphoric and triumphalist celebration all this week, marking the one year anniversary of Moscow's annexation of Crimea, has already drawn crowds of people, national flags in abundance, and veterans marching in various cities. Meanwhile, Russia-backed militants continue their attacks in eastern Ukraine testing the fragile truce between Kiev and the separatist forces.

The Media Has Swallowed Five Russian Myths That Have Helped Putin Win In Ukraine

Forbes

September 16, 2014

The West’s latest round of sanctions against Russia and the fragile truce between Moscow and Kiev fails to alter the fact that the Kremlin has already succeeded in achieving most of its aims in Ukraine. Crimea is an all-but-accepted lost cause, and territories in Eastern and Southern Ukraine are under serious pressure to follow suit.

Who’s next on Putin’s list?

OpenDemocracy

March 13, 2014

Crimea is under the control of Russia’s military forces and its Moscow-backed government is voting to secede from Ukraine. Where might President Vladimir Putin seek territorial expansion next?

How Putin carries out power grab

CNN

March 01, 2014

With the Russian military having effectively taken control of Crimea, a permanent division of Ukraine is becoming increasingly likely. Russian President Vladimir Putin's request to the Russian Senate to approve military intervention in Ukraine in order to "protect citizens of Russia" highlights how once seemingly innocuous "compatriot policies" are being used by Moscow to justify military efforts to regain Crimea for Russia.

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